Carranza vs Sanse C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+1012%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
COB
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
2 - 4
CAR
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
7 - 1
REM
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
JSB
1 - 2
CAR
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
SSD
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sanse C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
3 - 2
UDS
64%
17%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UDS
1 - 3
JSB
12%
15%
73%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ACA
2 - 0
UDS
52%
20%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UDS
0 - 2
MEC
23%
18%
59%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
5 - 2
UDS
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |