Carranza vs Espanyol de Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
22%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
SHC
2 - 4
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
JUS
27%
23%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 0
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
BPI
11%
16%
72%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 2
CCA
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ESP
4 - 1
OLI
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
DMS
2 - 3
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CLU
0 - 0
ESP
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 4
VMS
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |