Carranza vs Juventud Sanse A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
SMC
43%
25%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
JRR
1 - 2
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CCA
1 - 1
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 1
CAB
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 4
CAR
31%
24%
44%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Sanse A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CCA
2 - 4
JUS
55%
22%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
JUS
3 - 0
CAB
79%
12%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 1
JUS
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
JUS
8 - 0
ALT
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
IMA
1 - 0
JUS
20%
23%
57%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -2 |