Carranque vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HEL
3 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VRU
6 - 1
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
GIM
22%
27%
51%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CIU
3 - 0
TOM
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOM
0 - 1
HEL
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
TOM
44%
26%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOM
3 - 0
VRU
20%
25%
55%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GIM
3 - 2
TOM
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |