Carranque vs CD Marchamalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
3 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
ILL
26%
26%
49%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AZU
3 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAN
41%
26%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
QRE
5 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Marchamalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
TOM
60%
22%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
HEL
1 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VRU
3 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
GIM
29%
27%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |