Carranque vs CD Madridejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ILL
4 - 1
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
AZU
21%
23%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
QRE
38%
26%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
UDS
0 - 3
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Madridejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 2
TOM
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HEL
2 - 2
MAD
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 1
TOR
71%
18%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VRU
3 - 1
MAD
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 0
GIM
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |