Carranque vs Gimnástico de Alcázar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
50.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAR
31%
26%
44%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
3 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
ILL
26%
26%
49%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AZU
3 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GIM
3 - 2
TOM
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HEL
0 - 0
GIM
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GIM
4 - 0
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VRU
2 - 1
GIM
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CIU
1 - 0
GIM
48%
26%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |