Carranque vs CDEEF Patrocinio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
67.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
CAR
85%
12%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 5
ADS
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
ILL
7%
17%
77%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AZU
5 - 0
CAR
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
19%
22%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CDEEF Patrocinio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CDE
1 - 3
ILL
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AZU
6 - 1
CDE
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CDE
3 - 1
BAR
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
T66
2 - 1
CDE
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CDE
1 - 0
SON
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |