Carquefou vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carquefou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
LAV
0 - 4
CAR
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
PON
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
LES
1 - 2
CAR
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
FON
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 0
CAR
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
AVR
5 - 0
LEH
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LEM
0 - 2
AVR
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 0
LUC
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VCH
2 - 2
AVR
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AVR
2 - 0
PLA
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |