AC Carpi vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 2
CAR
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
FRO
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
BEN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 2
CAR
29%
30%
41%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 1
PRG
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
ACD
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
ACD
0 - 0
PIS
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |