AC Carpi vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAV
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACL
1 - 1
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
FCV
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAR
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
ACL
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
TER
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TER
2 - 0
TRI
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FCV
0 - 3
TER
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TER
2 - 1
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |