Carpi U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
62.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carpi U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 0
CAR
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAR
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 0
BOL
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 1
SPE
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
7 - 0
TRA
79%
13%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
SPE
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 2
SPE
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |