Caronnese vs Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 1
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
FER
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 2
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAP
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VOG
0 - 1
STG
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VOG
2 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
VOG
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VOG
3 - 0
LEC
42%
27%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 2
VOG
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |