Caronnese vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 3
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARG
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAV
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RAB
1 - 0
CAR
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GOZ
1 - 0
PIN
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VOG
1 - 1
GOZ
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GOZ
5 - 0
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SES
1 - 1
GOZ
47%
28%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GOZ
1 - 2
VFC
75%
16%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |