Carolinense vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
CDR
34%
26%
40%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DHE
3 - 2
CAR
58%
21%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
MIJ
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
UBE
6 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 2
ATM
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BEN
3 - 3
RJA
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RJA
7 - 0
BAI
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CHU
2 - 2
RJA
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 0
JUV
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |