Carolinense vs C.D. Útica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CFS
2 - 1
CAR
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
6 - 1
CDV
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
ADM
0 - 7
CAR
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CPH
0 - 0
CAR
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
5 - 1
CDH
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Útica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CDU
1 - 1
VIL
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CPH
2 - 0
CDU
29%
23%
49%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
CDU
5 - 1
RAC
41%
23%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CDU
2 - 1
ADM
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
UDG
4 - 0
CDU
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -2 |