Carolinense vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+168%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHU
0 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACO
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ATM
62%
21%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
DHE
5 - 0
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAE
0 - 3
VIL
13%
21%
66%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CDR
2 - 2
BAE
51%
24%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FUE
2 - 0
BAE
66%
20%
14%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BAE
2 - 1
CHU
14%
22%
64%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ACO
2 - 0
BAE
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |