Carolinense vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
BAZ
0 - 0
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 0
ALM
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
UDS
2 - 0
CAR
27%
28%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 2
MOT
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAR
19%
27%
54%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 0
ROC
29%
29%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAN
2 - 2
MAN
37%
30%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 1
G74
19%
28%
54%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NIJ
2 - 2
MAN
72%
19%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
GUA
37%
30%
33%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |