North Carolina vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
5º
2º
43
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CVF
0 - 2
CAR
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GTR
1 - 2
CAR
53%
24%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
CRW
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
OMA
1 - 2
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
OKS
0 - 0
FMA
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FMA
4 - 1
GTR
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 3
CAC
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LSC
0 - 0
FMA
4%
11%
85%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | -1 |