North Carolina vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 4
CRW
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
IMI
2 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
RIC
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 1
NOT
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 2
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 1
TOR
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 2
FMA
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CRW
1 - 1
FMA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |