North Carolina vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
DCU
1 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
PHU
68%
18%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
AFC
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 1
OCE
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CIN
4 - 1
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 0
MIN
19%
18%
64%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
NYO
1 - 2
CIN
50%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 2
LOU
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
PIT
1 - 3
CIN
22%
21%
57%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CIN
4 - 1
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |