North Carolina vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
NER
3 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
IMI
2 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
RIC
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 4
TOR
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
GTR
0 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CRW
1 - 1
FMA
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CRW
1 - 1
GTR
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
CRW
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
CRW
2 - 1
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CRW
2 - 2
TUC
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |