North Carolina vs Charlotte Independence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
EDM
1 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
MIA
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
FOR
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
NYC
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ORL
2 - 1
CHA
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
CHA
46%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
CHA
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
CHA
26%
26%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
MON
74%
16%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |