North Carolina vs Chivas USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
EDM
6 - 1
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
TAM
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
CHA
64%
19%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 0
CAR
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
ATL
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 1
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 3
PHU
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 2
POR
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
DAL
1 - 1
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
COR
1 - 3
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |