North Carolina vs Salem City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAR
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 2
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 2
CAR
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
EDM
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Salem City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 1
CHA
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
VBP
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
FOR
43%
24%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
ORL
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |