Salem City FC vs Virginia Legacy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salem City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
REA
2 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
SCU
72%
16%
12%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 1
PEA
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
WES
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
SCU
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Virginia Legacy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
REA
8 - 0
VIR
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
VIR
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 3
WES
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 1
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |