Salem City FC vs Virginia Legacy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salem City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
WES
1 - 5
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 2
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 3
CAR
27%
23%
49%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
REA
3 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Virginia Legacy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 5
REA
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 2
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
VIR
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
VBP
2 - 1
VIR
59%
22%
18%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |