Salem City FC vs Tobacco Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salem City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NOC
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
RIC
1 - 0
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 4
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SCU
1 - 3
CAR
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tobacco Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
NOC
5 - 0
TRF
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
WVA
2 - 0
TRF
77%
14%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
LFC
6 - 0
TRF
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TRF
1 - 3
WFC
57%
20%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
TRI
3 - 0
TRF
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |