Carnoedo vs Union Campestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+243%
+152%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carnoedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OCA
0 - 5
CAR
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 4
JUV
73%
15%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
CRI
54%
19%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MER
2 - 5
CAR
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 0
ATL
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Union Campestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 2
CRI
31%
20%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MER
0 - 2
UCA
46%
21%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UCA
4 - 0
ATL
64%
17%
20%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
UCA
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 1
PAS
23%
19%
58%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +1 |