Carmarthen Town vs Evans & Williams analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 2
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
LID
55%
21%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 4
CAR
16%
19%
66%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 1
CAR
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
6 - 1
TRE
84%
10%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Evans & Williams
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MRF
1 - 2
EWA
39%
22%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |