Carlos Renaux vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
63%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Renaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
POR
0 - 3
CRA
39%
23%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CRA
3 - 1
CAC
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ATB
2 - 2
CRA
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
JAR
8 - 0
AOL
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
JAR
4 - 0
POR
66%
18%
17%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
NES
3 - 0
JAR
16%
19%
66%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -3 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ANA
4 - 4
JAR
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
JAR
1 - 0
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +2 |