Carlos Renaux vs Caravaggio FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Renaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 1
CRA
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
INT
2 - 0
CRA
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
BAR
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
3 - 0
CRA
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
FFC
0 - 5
CRA
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 1
MET
16%
17%
67%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 0
BLU
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
BLU
1 - 0
CFC
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
CFC
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CFC
6 - 2
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |