Peru Second Division Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
CA Mannucci vs Atlético Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Mannucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
AGP
1 - 1
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
6 - 1
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 2
MAN
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AGP
2 - 0
MAN
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
AGP
1 - 1
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AGP
5 - 1
LOS
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LOS
1 - 0
AGP
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AGP
2 - 0
MAN
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 3
AGP
21%
25%
55%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |