Carlisle United vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 2
TOW
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXE
2 - 1
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
CUM
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 0
HOR
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
WAL
61%
24%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 0
ROC
36%
26%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 3
TOW
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 2
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
KIN
0 - 1
WAL
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |