Carlisle United vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
OLD
1 - 1
CUM
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 4
CAR
11%
17%
73%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CUM
0 - 3
PLY
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
CUM
75%
16%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
CRE
4 - 1
CUM
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
WAL
2 - 1
CRA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 1
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 2
OPA
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
WAL
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 0
LEY
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |