Carlisle United vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 2
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
STO
2 - 0
CUM
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CUM
2 - 3
LEY
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
CUM
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CUM
3 - 0
DON
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 0
STO
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 2
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 1
ROC
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TOW
1 - 1
TRA
22%
28%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 1
TRA
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |