Carlisle United vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
CUM
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LEY
2 - 2
CUM
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 2
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CUM
0 - 1
EXE
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
STO
1 - 2
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TRA
0 - 4
CHA
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
TRA
0 - 1
BOL
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LEE
3 - 0
TRA
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
TRA
0 - 1
MKD
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TRA
4 - 2
GIL
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |