Carlisle United vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CUM
1 - 0
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
CUM
0 - 2
COV
40%
25%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
HUR
0 - 2
CUM
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CUM
1 - 0
OLD
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
BCF
0 - 1
CUM
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
TRA
0 - 1
MOR
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
YEO
1 - 1
TRA
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
TRA
2 - 0
BHA
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
GIL
0 - 2
TRA
41%
27%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
STO
1 - 0
TRA
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |