Carlisle United vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TOW
3 - 0
CUM
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CUM
1 - 0
MAN
26%
28%
47%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 0
CUM
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CUM
0 - 1
EXE
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 2
CUM
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 0
STE
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
STE
2 - 0
TRA
24%
28%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SCU
1 - 1
STE
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
STE
1 - 0
ROC
34%
26%
39%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
COL
0 - 2
STE
54%
26%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |