Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
WYC
1 - 1
CUM
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CUM
2 - 1
HUR
28%
24%
47%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 2
CUM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 0
PNE
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 0
EXE
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 4
SCU
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SCU
0 - 0
NOT
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BCF
0 - 0
SCU
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 1
CHA
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |