Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 3
LEY
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
YEO
1 - 1
CUM
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 2
CUM
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 1
BRO
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
POS
1 - 0
CUM
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
POS
2 - 1
SCU
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SCU
2 - 1
STO
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
SCU
1 - 1
WAL
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LEE
3 - 2
SCU
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 0
SCU
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |