Carlisle United vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 1
CUM
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 0
DAG
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
STA
3 - 1
CUM
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
CUM
2 - 2
OPA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
OXF
2 - 1
CUM
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 1
AFC
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PLY
2 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
OPA
2 - 1
PLY
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 1
BUR
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 3
PLY
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |