Carlisle United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
CUM
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 1
TRA
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BRO
3 - 0
CUM
34%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 2
FOR
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 0
EVE
61%
19%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 3
WAL
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
3 - 0
STE
43%
28%
30%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
OLD
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 2
TOW
33%
25%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
OLD
2 - 3
LUS
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |