Carlisle United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
CUM
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 1
CUM
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 4
NOT
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 2
CUM
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 2
CRA
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 0
LEY
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 1
OLD
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OLD
3 - 1
PNE
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 2
OLD
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
OLD
0 - 1
COV
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |