Carlisle United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis

Carlisle United Oldham Athletic AFC
59 ELO 62
5.2% Tilt -6.5%
4728º General ELO ranking 3708º
143º Country ELO ranking 94º
ELO win probability
42.4%
Carlisle United
25.6%
Draw
32%
Oldham Athletic AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
Carlisle United
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Carlisle United
+22%
+23%
Oldham Athletic AFC

ELO progression

Carlisle United
Oldham Athletic AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Carlisle United
Carlisle United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2009
LEI
Leicester
2 - 2
Carlisle United
CUM
67%
22%
12%
59 73 14 0
28 Mar. 2009
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 1
Northampton
NOR
46%
26%
28%
59 62 3 0
24 Mar. 2009
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 2
Hereford United
HER
57%
23%
20%
60 56 4 -1
21 Mar. 2009
SOU
Southend United
3 - 0
Carlisle United
CUM
54%
25%
21%
61 65 4 -1
14 Mar. 2009
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 1
Scunthorpe United
SCU
35%
26%
39%
60 68 8 +1

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2009
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 2
Peterborough United
POS
32%
27%
41%
63 72 9 0
28 Mar. 2009
LEY
Leyton Orient
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
40%
26%
34%
63 60 3 0
24 Mar. 2009
CHE
Cheltenham Town
1 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
29%
26%
45%
64 54 10 -1
21 Mar. 2009
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 2
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
50%
27%
24%
64 65 1 0
14 Mar. 2009
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
6 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
58%
24%
19%
65 72 7 -1