Carlisle United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LEI
2 - 2
CUM
67%
22%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 1
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SOU
3 - 0
CUM
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 1
SCU
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
OLD
1 - 2
POS
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
LEY
2 - 1
OLD
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 1
OLD
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
OLD
0 - 2
TRA
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MKD
6 - 2
OLD
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |