Carlisle United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 1
CUM
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
CUM
0 - 0
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
LEY
1 - 1
CUM
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
CUM
1 - 4
YEO
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
DON
1 - 2
CUM
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2007 |
OLD
0 - 1
BPO
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
OLD
1 - 2
BOU
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
OLD
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
OLD
1 - 2
MIL
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
SWA
0 - 1
OLD
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |