Carlisle United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
STF
0 - 0
CUM
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
CUM
2 - 1
DER
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
CUM
1 - 2
BHA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
CAM
0 - 2
CUM
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1984 |
SWI
3 - 1
CUM
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
HUR
0 - 1
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
OLD
0 - 0
CAM
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
OLD
3 - 0
DER
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
BHA
4 - 0
OLD
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
STF
3 - 0
OLD
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |