Carlisle United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
NTT
4 - 0
CUM
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
CUM
1 - 1
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
LEY
1 - 0
CUM
39%
31%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
CUM
1 - 1
LUT
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
PLY
2 - 1
CUM
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
LEY
2 - 0
OLD
51%
28%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
OLD
0 - 0
NTT
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1975 |
OLD
3 - 2
SOU
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
CHA
3 - 1
OLD
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
OLD
2 - 0
YOR
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |