Carlisle United vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
STE
0 - 1
CUM
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
LEY
1 - 2
CUM
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CUM
0 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 1
CUM
79%
16%
6%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
YOR
2 - 2
CUM
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
BCF
0 - 1
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 4
BRO
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 3
LUT
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OXF
0 - 0
MOR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 4
NOR
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |