Carlisle United vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
DON
1 - 0
CUM
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
CUM
1 - 1
CHE
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 3
CUM
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CUM
0 - 2
LIN
36%
29%
36%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
LEY
1 - 1
CUM
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
CAN
2 - 3
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 1
CAN
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
BUR
4 - 1
CAN
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CAN
1 - 0
NOR
44%
23%
32%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
WIG
0 - 1
CAN
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |